Gold, US Oil, S&P 500 - Latest Retail Sentiment Analysis
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Gold Retail Sentiment
Recent retail trader data reveals a balanced market, with 49.85% of traders in long positions and a short-to-long ratio of 1.01 to 1. Notable shifts have occurred: long positions have decreased by 13.24% since yesterday and 13.73% over the past week. Conversely, short positions have increased by 8.36% daily and 6.44% weekly.
Our analytical approach often counters prevailing market sentiment. The current net-short positioning implies the potential for Gold price appreciation. The growing short bias observed both daily and weekly, strengthens our contrarian bullish view on Gold.
![image1.png](https://a.c-dn.net/b/2v7JOI/image1.png)
US Crude Oil Sentiment
Recent data indicates 58.26% of retail traders are net-long, with long positions outweighing short by 1.40 to 1. Net-long traders have decreased by 0.43% daily but increased by 7.19% weekly. Net-short traders have grown by 4.31% since yesterday but declined by 14.98% over the week.
Our strategy often opposes market sentiment. The current net-long majority implies potential US Crude price decreases. However, the conflicting short-term and medium-term changes in positioning yield an ambiguous trading outlook for Oil - US Crude.
![image2.png](https://a.c-dn.net/b/4ALBqd/image2.png)
S&P 500 Sentiment
Retail trader data reveals a bearish tilt, with 36.30% net-long positions and a 1.75 to 1 short-to-long ratio. Net-long traders have grown by 13.58% since yesterday and 6.75% over the week. Net-short traders have declined by 8.07% daily and 2.91% weekly.
Our approach typically contradicts crowd positioning. The dominant net-short sentiment suggests continued US 500 price appreciation. However, the recent decline in net-short positions across both daily and weekly periods indicates a possible reversal in the current US 500 uptrend, despite the persisting net-short majority.
![image3.png](https://a.c-dn.net/b/1z8lTV/image3.png)
Change in | Longs | Shorts | OI |
Daily | 4% | -6% | 3% |
Weekly | 32% | -33% | 18% |
What is your view on Gold, US Oil, and the S&P 500 – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.